Rankings by world and scoring priorities
All six losses use the same world with weak institutions. These are not 120 independent observations of real events.
The big simulation doesn't prove PULSE is better. We had to assign numbers to things like how well institutions work, trust, integration and the ability to recover. Those numbers are assumptions. The model asks what happens over time if the mechanisms work roughly that way; it isn't evidence that they actually will.
When we weakened selected PULSE institutional effects toward the model's neutral setting, its overall lead disappeared. That helps identify which assumptions matter most. It doesn't tell us how much better a real PULSE society would be.
Model evidence, open to challenge
The tests are meant to help find where PULSE goes wrong. Passing them doesn't prove the whole framework works.
These ask a narrow question about a rule: can an election be manipulated by adding similar candidates, can a voting threshold block harmful proposals, or can recovery guardians fail together? Conclusions apply only within the stated test assumptions.
The long-term model starts by assigning each design assumed effects on rights, cooperation and other outcomes. Then it asks what follows if those assumptions hold. It can't independently show that the proposed institutions would actually produce those effects.
Studies of human societies and existing infrastructure can inform a question. They cannot tell us exactly how a future human–synthetic society would behave.
Equal personhood and the right to direct your own life are moral choices built into the Constitution. A simulation can't prove those values are right.
In world 19, PULSE ranks fourth under all six scoring systems. A simpler liberal design wins. PULSE reaches the model’s free-and-integrated outcome in only 2.225% of runs.
Inspect weak institutions →In world 11, deep social separation leaves PULSE’s free-and-integrated outcome at only 0.9125%, even though it ranks first under every scoring system. All designs struggle; ranking is not success.
Inspect deep social separation →The average of six PULSE scores falls below the fixed liberal comparison when the benefit multiplier moves from 0.85 to 0.80. This is a sampled sensitivity interval, not a measured performance requirement.
Inspect the sensitivity methods →Conditional long-horizon civilization model
The 300-year starting comparison varies each population’s initial share and growth across seven government designs.
The model flags domination of one population by the other in an average 0.019375% of PULSE runs, compared with 2.48% for the majority-rule design. This is one narrow outcome. PULSE still suffers failures involving authoritarian control and can perform poorly overall.
The current framework combines ordinary representation with rules requiring support from both populations. This combined test does not show what caused each individual provision to be adopted.
The House represents people and geography without species-owned seats. The Senate requires different levels of support for different matters. Certain candidates also need a separate signal of acceptance from the other population.
The strengths assigned to group protections and checks on power substantially determine this result. The model does not simulate every election, court decision or real political alliance. Zero in a scenario means zero recorded model events, not zero real risk.
Compared alternatives: PULSE, A liberal democracy with constitutional rights, Government by population majority, Strict equal power for the two populations, Separate self-government for each population, Government led by technical guardians, A market order with fewer public safeguards
These links identify the actual files behind the claim. The models explore assumptions; they do not predict measured future probabilities.
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Targeted mechanism tests
Earlier tests combining several pressures compare limits on linked groups with one limit covering everyone created unlawfully. The long-term model directly caps that share for PULSE.
In the historical test, the rule limiting each linked set separately let the combined share exceed 50% in 40.082% of runs. The rule limiting everyone together to 40% and the rule reducing their combined share to one-third recorded no such breach. These are historical alternatives, not the current 30% rule.
The current Charter applies one limit across all such persons. Calling them separate groups does not let their combined share grow beyond it.
Article IX §7 limits active synthetic voters whose own first creation was unlawful to 30% of the active synthetic electorate, regardless of who created them or whether their groups are linked. Their innocence, fair legal process and path to eventual safe integration remain protected.
Enforcement is assumed. The long-term code applies its 30% cap directly to PULSE; it cannot independently show whether institutions can identify and enforce the rules for every unlawful creation. Historical 40% and one-third thresholds must never be labeled current law.
Compared alternatives: A separate limit for each linked group, One global limit on persons created unlawfully, Reducing the combined share to one-third
These links identify the actual files behind the claim. The models explore assumptions; they do not predict measured future probabilities.
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Targeted mechanism tests
The Senate tests compare requiring a majority in each population, the 55/40 rule, and a Senate whose votes follow population size.
At equal population shares, the 55/40 rule passed 30.1464% of proposals about how benefits and burdens are shared, versus 14.3164% when a majority in each population was required. Both recorded 0% passage of proposals the model labels predatory—designed to exploit the other group. Population-based voting passed 24.6118% of those predatory proposals.
The current framework requires different levels of support for ordinary laws and specially protected matters.
Ordinary laws need 55% of the full Senate and 40% of each delegation; protected matters require 83% overall and 67% of each delegation.
The proposal categories and patterns of support are constructed. A zero passage rate for predatory proposals does not prove that real opponents cannot hide exploitation or trade votes. Stronger safeguards can still block desirable law.
Compared alternatives: Equal delegations; majority required in each, 55% overall and 40% in each delegation, Senate votes follow population size
These links identify the actual files behind the claim. The models explore assumptions; they do not predict measured future probabilities.
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Targeted mechanism tests
Earlier emergency tests make investigators’ errors more or less shared. They compare restoring earlier clean states in stages, dividing authorization keys, and isolating affected systems without restoration.
At the tested shared-error setting of 0.30, real attacks left uncontained account for 1.4368% of all cases with staged restoration, 2.1188% with divided authorization keys and 3.9168% with isolation alone. All three recorded zero wrongful destructive actions in this test. These percentages use all cases as the denominator, not attacks alone.
The current Charter separates reversible containment, restoration of affected Council members, and restoring larger numbers of persons to earlier clean states. It requires independent technical investigation and court review. A historical summary test does not validate this exact sequence.
Emergency action must be temporary, necessary, proportionate to the danger and open to review. Political disagreement is not evidence that a mind has been compromised. Repair is preferred. Synthetic Council leadership free of the compromise must be restored before broader decisions to force people back to earlier clean mental states.
The zero count of wrongful actions does not rule out abuse. The model assumes its evidence process works as specified. It does not reproduce malicious institutions, hidden coercion or the full current Charter.
Compared alternatives: Restore earlier clean states in stages, Divide authorization keys, Isolate affected systems without restoration
These links identify the actual files behind the claim. The models explore assumptions; they do not predict measured future probabilities.
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Conditional long-horizon civilization model
The v2 test weakens each of five main sets of rules in turn and compares the result with full PULSE.
Weakening Functional Integration—the rules for useful cooperation and shared competence—reduces the mean free-and-integrated outcome from 57.0208% to 16.7083%. Lasting splits into divided populations rise from 2.8667% to 6.4208%. These are means over the 20 archived worlds.
The framework makes useful cooperation and the ability to keep shared systems running central. The model supports investigating how this could work; it does not authorize forced private relationships.
The state connects systems, knowledge, capability and opportunity. It may not force friendships, marriages, neighborhoods or careers, or assign permanent roles to a species.
This test changes both the strength of cooperation and how influential group identity is. It cannot separate gains in capability, backup competence and trust. The v1.2 model does not test the exact v1.2.1 prohibition on forced private relationships. Human contact research offers an analogy; it does not measure future effects among synthetic persons.
Compared alternatives: Full PULSE, PULSE with its cooperation rules weakened
These links identify the actual files behind the claim. The models explore assumptions; they do not predict measured future probabilities.
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Conditional long-horizon civilization model
The test varies how strongly people prefer contact within their own population. The starting comparisons also include a world with deep separation and political division.
With deep separation, a good rank can hide failure of the actual goal. Check how often the free-and-integrated outcome occurs and how often the populations split, as well as who ranks first. Starting world 11 is a prominent adverse case.
These results alone establish no constitutional change. They challenge whether voluntary cooperation can be strong enough under hostile conditions.
The rules for useful cooperation must preserve choice in private relationships and equal standing. Constitutional protections cannot make people like one another.
Preference for similar contacts is not a direct measure of hatred; the technical term is homophily. Starting world 11 also raises political division. The test cannot establish the actual psychology of future synthetic persons.
Compared alternatives: PULSE, A liberal democracy with constitutional rights, Strict equal power for the two populations, Separate self-government for each population
These links identify the actual files behind the claim. The models explore assumptions; they do not predict measured future probabilities.
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Conditional long-horizon civilization model
The starting world with weak institutions and a separate test of institutional capability compare full PULSE with a simpler liberal design.
PULSE ranks fourth under all six scoring systems in starting world 19. Liberal constitutional democracy ranks first. In the separate test of institutional capability, the lead changes between the sampled settings of 0.55 and 0.60 on the average score across all six systems.
PULSE-Lite is an idea for further testing. It is not an adopted amendment or a ready replacement constitution.
The framework retains its current protections. It specifies the founding transition and local self-government, but the model gives no general permission to waive rights when institutions struggle to function.
Institutional capability is an assigned score on a common scale. The point where the ranking changes is not a score for a real country, a universal threshold or a precise measured estimate.
Compared alternatives: PULSE, A liberal democracy with constitutional rights
These links identify the actual files behind the claim. The models explore assumptions; they do not predict measured future probabilities.
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Conditional long-horizon civilization model
The v2 skeptic test reduces or increases selected advantages assigned to PULSE relative to a common starting setting of 0.5. Its modeled costs remain.
Compare the mean scores as PULSE’s assigned benefits change with the unchanged liberal comparison. The reported loss of advantage around a 15–20% discount is a rough warning about dependence on assumptions, not a measured real-world margin. Here the percentage describes moving selected institutional-effect coefficients toward the model’s neutral setting, not reducing all assumptions. It is not a measured advantage, safety margin or empirical confidence interval.
These results call for independent tests of the proposed benefits and skeptical review of the chosen numbers. They do not themselves amend the Charter.
The five main doctrines describe the intended system. How the research is done and how the rules would work in practice remain open to challenge.
Reducing the multiplier does not reduce every real-world institutional effect by that percentage. It changes selected model settings relative to 0.5. The underlying equations stay the same, and some favorable assumptions remain.
Compared alternatives: PULSE, A liberal democracy with constitutional rights
These links identify the actual files behind the claim. The models explore assumptions; they do not predict measured future probabilities.
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Conditional long-horizon civilization model
All 20 starting worlds are scored under six sets of priorities. They use the same definitions of outcomes and the same score deductions for failures.
PULSE ranks first in 114 of 120 comparisons between worlds and scoring systems, and fourth in the other six. All six losses occur in the world with weak institutions.
Trying different priorities checks one way a model could favor its creator’s choices. It does not show that every reasonable moral theory endorses the framework.
Equal standing as persons and the right to retain independent agency are moral commitments. A score does not prove them correct.
All six systems deduct points for catastrophic failure, lasting population division and private control that overrides others’ independence. They reuse the same assumptions and do not cover every political philosophy.
Compared alternatives: PULSE, A liberal democracy with constitutional rights, Government by population majority, Strict equal power for the two populations, Separate self-government for each population, Government led by technical guardians, A market order with fewer public safeguards
These links identify the actual files behind the claim. The models explore assumptions; they do not predict measured future probabilities.
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Research evidence · v1.2.2
Designed to expose failure, not to prove a preferred future.
Detailed trial accounting belongs with its units and limitations.
Inspect trial accounting in Methods →Inspect all ten reproduction checks · Download code, data, reports and runner
PULSE simulation result · internally reproduced · assumptions remain unvalidated
All six losses use the same world with weak institutions. These are not 120 independent observations of real events.
The combined failure measure is approximately tied. Whether the constitution itself survives is a separate measure: 79.1% for PULSE and 81.7% for liberal democracy.
This is an outcome the model defines. It depends on the chosen design, assigned effects and assumptions.
Removing this mechanism changes practical capability, continued operation and social ties together. It does not measure private social contact separately.
On the reproduced average across value systems, PULSE crosses the fixed liberal comparison score when its assumed benefit is multiplied by somewhere between 0.80 and 0.85. This is a sampled interval, not an exact tipping point or a separate result for every value system.
The Constitution does not claim that force can create goodwill between people.
A serious weakness of the full PULSE design that must be reported openly.
Complete baseline rank and score table · Architecture means · Methods and exact source files
| Area | Failure or sensitivity | Current response |
|---|---|---|
| Presidential counting | Adding similar candidates could manipulate ranked-point results | Head-to-head ranked comparisons; Schulze/Beatpath is the current method for resolving cycles |
| Personhood recognition | Requiring almost everyone to agree led the model to reject many genuine persons | Several panels using the current threshold, with different theories and evidence sources |
| Ordinary Senate law | Risk that a delegation could permanently block ordinary law | Separate approval rules for ordinary law and protected decisions |
| Illicit creation | Dividing unlawful creations among apparently separate groups evaded per-group limits | One combined voter-share ceiling for all persons whose own creation was unlawful |
| Cognitive change | Changes building up across repeated updates | Later reauthorization or continuing review |
| House | Over- and underrepresentation concentration | Review triggers for both overrepresentation and underrepresentation |
| Resilience | Shared failures defeat duplicate sites | Backup paths that do not fail from the same cause |
| Participation | Compulsory ballot return rejected | Voluntary voting, with exceptional approval rules for disrupted elections |
These are project-reported design consequences, not external validation. Read considered and superseded alternatives
The project kept its five central principles and full institutional design after these tests. That is a choice made under the model’s assumptions, not proof that the design is correct. Weak institutions, extreme hostility, recognition panels making related mistakes and the economics of very long-lived persons remain serious concerns.