Scenario × value-system rankings
The same weak-institutions world accounts for all six losses; these are not 120 independent empirical observations.
The long-horizon model is conditional on assigned institutional-effectiveness coefficients. It explores consequences of those hypotheses rather than independently estimating or validating the effects.
The skeptic sweep moves selected PULSE institutional-effect coefficients toward 0.5 while holding the comparator fixed. The aggregate lead crosses between multipliers 0.85 and 0.80; this is neither a uniform reduction of all assumptions nor an empirical confidence interval, safety margin or measured advantage.
Model evidence, open to challenge
The purpose of testing is not to prove PULSE correct. It is to make it easier to find where PULSE is wrong.
Rule-level tests examine clone resistance, thresholds, quorums, panel errors, demographic caps and failure-domain dependence under explicit formal or probabilistic assumptions.
Integrated 300-year models explore interactions and failure conditions conditional on architecture-effectiveness coefficients. Assigned institutional effects are hypotheses, not independently estimated causal effects.
External empirical analogues constrain plausible directions and mechanisms but do not calibrate future human–synthetic psychology or constitutional performance.
Equal personhood, personal sovereignty and related doctrine are normative premises and constitutional arguments, not empirical findings.
In world 19, PULSE ranks fourth under all six scoring systems. A simpler liberal design wins. PULSE reaches the model’s free-and-integrated outcome in only 2.225% of runs.
Inspect weak institutions →In world 11, deep social separation leaves PULSE’s free-and-integrated outcome at only 0.9125%, even though it ranks first under every scoring system. All designs struggle; ranking is not success.
Inspect deep social separation →The average of six PULSE scores falls below the fixed liberal comparison when the benefit multiplier moves from 0.85 to 0.80. This is a sampled sensitivity interval, not a measured performance requirement.
Inspect the sensitivity methods →Conditional long-horizon civilization model
The 300-year baseline varies starting population shares and growth across seven architectures.
PULSE’s baseline domination flag averages 0.019375%, compared with 2.48% for the modeled majoritarian architecture. This is one narrow model outcome; PULSE still experiences authoritarian failure and can perform poorly overall.
The current framework combines ordinary representation with protected concurrence. This aggregate test does not establish the causal history of each provision.
The House represents persons and geography without species seats. Senate tiers and a separate cross-population acceptability signal add protections.
Assigned group-protection and checks coefficients substantially determine this result. The model does not simulate all individual elections, judicial enforcement or real political coalitions. Zero in a scenario means zero recorded model events, not zero real risk.
Exact comparator IDs: PULSE, Liberal constitutional democracy, Majoritarian democracy, Strict consociational parity, Species-separated federalism, Technocratic guardian governance, Minimal-rights market order
These links identify the actual files behind the claim. The models explore assumptions; they do not predict measured future probabilities.
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Targeted mechanism tests
Historical compound tests compare linked-cohort limits with global aggregate limits. The long-horizon model directly caps PULSE’s illicit-origin share.
In the historical test, the linked-set design exceeded 50% in 40.082% of runs. The global 40% limit and one-third dilution designs recorded no such breach. These are historical alternatives, not the current 30% rule.
The current Charter uses a global aggregate ceiling rather than allowing nominally separate cohorts to accumulate beyond it.
Article IX §7 caps the active synthetic electorate whose own first creation was unlawful at 30%, regardless of creator or cohort linkage. Innocence, due process and eventual safe integration remain protected.
Enforcement is assumed. The long-horizon code applies its 30% cap directly to PULSE; it cannot independently validate whether institutions can find and enforce all illicit origins. Historical 40% and one-third thresholds must never be labeled current law.
Exact comparator IDs: default_linked_set_ceiling, scholar_global_illicit_ceiling, radical_one_third_dilution
These links identify the actual files behind the claim. The models explore assumptions; they do not predict measured future probabilities.
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Targeted mechanism tests
Targeted Senate tests compare concurrent majorities, 55/40 and a population-based Senate.
At equal population shares, the 55/40 rule passed 30.1464% of distributional proposals versus 14.3164% under concurrent majorities. Both recorded 0% passage of proposals labeled predatory. Population voting passed 24.6118% of those predatory proposals.
The current framework uses different thresholds for ordinary and protected matters.
Ordinary laws need 55% of the full Senate and 40% of each delegation; protected matters require 83% overall and 67% of each delegation.
Proposal classes and support distributions are constructed. A zero predatory passage rate is not proof that real opponents cannot disguise predation or trade votes. Stronger safeguards can still block desirable law.
Exact comparator IDs: default_parity_concurrent_majority, scholar_centripetal_55_40, radical_population_senate
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Targeted mechanism tests
Historical compound emergency tests vary correlated errors and compare tiered rollback, split keys and quarantine alone.
At error correlation 0.30, uncontained true incidents were 1.4368% of all cases under tiered rollback, 2.1188% under split keys and 3.9168% under quarantine alone. All three recorded zero wrongful destructive actions in this test.
The current Charter separates reversible containment, Council restoration and broader rollback, with independent forensics and judicial review. Do not infer this exact sequence was validated by a historical aggregate test.
Emergency action must be temporary, necessary, proportionate and reviewable. Political disagreement is not cognitive compromise. Repair is preferred; restored synthetic leadership returns before broader rollback decisions.
The zero wrongful-action count does not rule out abuse. The model assumes its evidence process and does not reproduce malicious institutions, covert coercion or the full current Charter.
Exact comparator IDs: default_tiered_rollback, scholar_split_key, radical_quarantine_only
These links identify the actual files behind the claim. The models explore assumptions; they do not predict measured future probabilities.
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Conditional long-horizon civilization model
A v2 doctrine-ablation campaign weakens each of five doctrine bundles.
Weakening Functional Integration reduces the mean free-and-integrated outcome from 57.0208% to 16.7083%. Modeled bifurcation rises from 2.8667% to 6.4208%. These are means over the 20 archived worlds.
The framework makes useful cooperation and shared competence central. The model supports investigating the mechanism; it does not authorize compelled private association.
The state integrates systems, knowledge, capability and opportunity. It may not force friendships, marriages, neighborhoods, careers or a species-role caste.
The ablation changes integration strength and group salience together. It cannot separate capability, redundancy and cohesion effects, and the v1.2 model does not test the exact v1.2.1 non-coercion boundary. Human contact research is an analogue, not a synthetic-population calibration.
Exact comparator IDs: Full PULSE, Functional Integration
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Conditional long-horizon civilization model
The homophily sweep varies preference for same-population association; the baseline also includes high separation and polarization.
At high separation, a good comparative rank can conceal failure of the actual goal. Inspect absolute free-and-integrated outcomes and bifurcation alongside the rank. Baseline world 11 is a prominent adverse case.
No constitutional change is established by these outputs alone. They challenge whether voluntary cooperation can be strong enough under hostile conditions.
Functional Integration must preserve voluntary private association and equal status. Constitutional protections cannot compel affection.
Homophily is preference for similar contacts, not a direct measure of hatred. Baseline world 11 also raises polarization, and the sweep cannot calibrate real synthetic psychology.
Exact comparator IDs: PULSE, Liberal constitutional democracy, Strict consociational parity, Species-separated federalism
These links identify the actual files behind the claim. The models explore assumptions; they do not predict measured future probabilities.
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Conditional long-horizon civilization model
The weak-institutions baseline world and a separate capacity sweep compare full PULSE with a simpler liberal architecture.
PULSE ranks fourth in all six value systems in baseline world 19. Liberal constitutional democracy ranks first. The separate capacity sweep crosses between its sampled 0.55 and 0.60 settings on the average six-value score.
PULSE-Lite is an exploratory follow-up hypothesis. It is not an adopted amendment or a ready replacement constitution.
Current protections remain in force in the framework. Founding transitions and local self-government are specified, but the model does not establish a general permission to waive rights under low capacity.
Capacity is an assumed normalized index. Its breakpoint is not a real-country governance score, universal threshold or precise empirical estimate.
Exact comparator IDs: PULSE, Liberal constitutional democracy
These links identify the actual files behind the claim. The models explore assumptions; they do not predict measured future probabilities.
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Conditional long-horizon civilization model
The v2 skeptic sweep changes a multiplier on PULSE-specific benefits around a generic 0.5 parameter baseline while retaining modeled costs.
Compare the supplied benefit-multiplier means with the fixed liberal baseline. The reported loss of advantage around a 15–20% discount is a coarse sensitivity warning, not a measured real-world margin. Here the percentage describes moving selected institutional-effect coefficients toward the model’s neutral setting, not reducing all assumptions. It is not a measured advantage, safety margin or empirical confidence interval.
These results call for independent mechanism validation and hostile parameter review. They do not themselves amend the Charter.
The five doctrines specify the intended architecture, while methodology and implementation remain open to challenge.
A multiplier discount is not a direct percentage reduction in every real institutional effect. It scales selected coefficients above/below 0.5, shares the same model form and does not remove all favorable assumptions.
Exact comparator IDs: PULSE, Liberal constitutional democracy
These links identify the actual files behind the claim. The models explore assumptions; they do not predict measured future probabilities.
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Conditional long-horizon civilization model
All 20 baseline worlds are scored under six weighting systems using common outcome definitions and penalties.
PULSE ranks first in 114 of 120 world/value comparisons and fourth in the other six. All six losses are the weak-institutions world.
Using multiple weight sets tests one source of self-confirmation. It does not establish that all plausible moral theories endorse the framework.
Equal personhood and inalienable agency are normative commitments, not conclusions proved by a score.
All six systems share catastrophic-failure, bifurcation and private-sovereignty penalties. They reuse the same model assumptions and do not span every political philosophy.
Exact comparator IDs: PULSE, Liberal constitutional democracy, Majoritarian democracy, Strict consociational parity, Species-separated federalism, Technocratic guardian governance, Minimal-rights market order
These links identify the actual files behind the claim. The models explore assumptions; they do not predict measured future probabilities.
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Research evidence · v1.2.2
Designed to expose failure, not to prove a preferred future.
Detailed trial accounting belongs with its units and limitations.
Inspect trial accounting in Methods →Inspect all ten reproduction checks · Download code, data, reports and runner
PULSE simulation result · internally reproduced · assumptions remain unvalidated
The same weak-institutions world accounts for all six losses; these are not 120 independent empirical observations.
This composite failure measure is approximately tied. Constitutional survival alone is a different variable: 79.1% for PULSE and 81.7% for liberal democracy.
An outcome defined by the model, conditional on its architecture, effects, and assumptions.
Removing the mechanism combines capability, continuity, and cohesion effects. It does not isolate private social contact.
Reproduced cross-value average crosses the fixed liberal baseline between benefit multipliers 0.80 and 0.85; this is not an exact threshold or a separate finding for every value system.
No constitutional claim that coercion can manufacture private goodwill.
A substantive vulnerability of mature PULSE, not a result to hide.
Complete baseline rank and score table · Architecture means · Methods and exact source files
| Area | Failure or sensitivity | Current response |
|---|---|---|
| Presidential counting | Rank-sum/Borda clone sensitivity | Pairwise Condorcet architecture; Schulze/Beatpath working default |
| Personhood recognition | Near-unanimity generated severe modeled false negatives | Multiple panels with the current working threshold and epistemic diversity |
| Ordinary Senate law | Risk of permanent delegation veto politics | Current ordinary-law tier; distinct protected tier |
| Illicit creation | Split-provenance evasion of cohort-specific caps | Aggregate illicit-origin electorate ceiling |
| Cognitive change | Cumulative drift across successive updates | Later reauthorization or continuing review |
| House | Over- and underrepresentation concentration | Symmetric structural-review alarms |
| Resilience | Shared failures defeat duplicate sites | Materially independent failure domains |
| Participation | Compulsory ballot return rejected | Voluntary voting and exceptional impaired-election certification |
These are project-reported design consequences, not external validation. Read considered and superseded alternatives
The project retained its five doctrines and mature institutional architecture after these tests. That is a design decision under the tested assumptions, not a proof of correctness. Low institutional capacity, extreme hostility, correlated recognition error, and the economics of durable persons remain material concerns.